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If you want to bet on football, then you have plenty of options.
There are not only lots of games you can bet on, there are also
lots of different types of wagers you can place. Point spreads
and totals are the most popular types, by quite a distance, and
many football bettors stick solely to those. This isn’t really the
ideal approach, as some of the other wagers can be very useful
in the right circumstances.

Systematic lay betting on football is most definitely something that I would encourage you to learn, follow and use, because it’s hands down, THE absolute fastest way to make money from the beautiful. The answer to this question is “yes”. One can be profitable in football betting if he/she has a well defined betting plan and strategy (with a edge over the bookies).

Football betting, in clear terms, is an avenue where you place a bet on one or two teams in football matches to make money. Football betting can be done for physical teams or virtually. Real-life football betting entails betting. There are many ways to make money betting on football. You just have to know what you are doing. Football spread betting for example often has many people confused, but it’s not that difficult once you. #1 NFL Betting Strategy – Money/Bankroll Management When you are betting on the NFL season you will want to set aside a certain amount of money to bet with that you can afford to lose, known as your “bankroll”. I suggest you either make a weekly bankroll, monthly bankroll, or full season bankroll (I.

Can You Make Money Betting On Football Parlay

The moneyline is definitely one of those wagers. This is often viewed as an
alternative to the point spread, and in some respects it is, but
that doesn’t mean it should be ignored just because you like betting on the spread. We explain why in this
article, and we also offer some tips for betting football moneylines.

First, though, we’ll explain exactly how moneylines work when betting on football. You can watch this video we have put together or read on for even more information down the page.

How Football Moneylines Work

Betting the moneyline for a football game is simply betting on which team you think is going to win. There is no point spread involved. Whichever team you select has to win outright for a wager to be successful. In the unlikely event of a tie, your stake will be returned.

In most football games there is a favorite and an underdog. Very occasionally there are games where the two team are completely evenly matched, but for the most part one team is favored over the other to win. With point spreads, the idea is to create an even money proposition when betting on the game. So the favorite has to win by at least a certain number of points for a wager on them to be successful, and the underdog has to lose by no more than a certain number of points for a wager on them to be successful. The bigger the gap in quality between the two teams, the bigger the point spread.

Because there’s no point spread involved with moneyline wagers, the odds are adjusted to reflect this. So whereas both sides of a point spread wager both have the same odds, or very close to the same (typically around -110), moneyline odds can be very different. Here’s an example.

For this game, the Cardinals are the clear favorites. The bookmakers consider them very likely to win the game, so the odds are quite low. By contrast, the odds for the Packers are quite high because they’re not considered very likely to win. Here’s how the potential payouts look for the two wagers.

As you can see, you stand to make a much better return when backing the Packers. This is because the risks are higher, due to their chances of winning. The Cardinals are far more likely to win than lose, so a wager on them doesn’t offer a great return.

This highlights a notable advantage of the moneyline wager. You get to control, to some extent, the risk versus reward. For example, you might be quite certain that the Cardinals are going to win this game, but not convinced that they’re going to cover the spread. So a moneyline wager is the safe option. There’s less money to be made, but less chance of losing. On the other hand, you might think that the Packers are going to cause an upset. Rather than betting on them to cover the spread, you can bet on them to win outright. There’s less chance of winning such a wager, but the potential returns are much greater.

We mentioned earlier how point spreads change depending on the gap in quality between the two teams. The same principle applies to moneylines, but it’s the odds that change. So, for example, if two teams are fairly evenly matched then the following odds might be available.

The potential payout for a bet on the underdog here is lower than in the previous match, because they have a better chance of winning. The potential payout for a bet on the favorite is higher because they’re not AS likely to win.

When to Bet Moneylines

We’re often asked a question along the lines of “why would I place moneyline wagers rather than point spread wagers?” There’s no simple answer to this question really, as point spreads and moneylines shouldn’t be viewed as “either/or” options as such. You don’t have to decide that you’re always going to bet on the spread, or that you’re always going to bet moneylines. These are two different wager types that have their own merits, and any bettor should have them both in their arsenal.

We’ve already mentioned how moneyline wagers give you more control over the risk versus reward element of betting. There are also other reasons why you might choose this type of wager over a points spread. If you fully understand how both of these wagers work, you’ll find that there are games when a moneyline wager is the right option, and games when the point spread wager is the right option. There are no definitive rules about which one you should use and when, only a general principle that you should try to follow.

This should hopefully make perfect sense to you. Successful betting, on any sport, is all about finding value, so you should always look to get the best value that you can. If a moneyline wager offers the best value on a football game, then that’s the wager you should be placing. If a point spread seems the best option, then go down that route. There may even be occasions where it’s viable to place both wagers on the same game.

With all that being said, there is one situation where we’d suggest the moneyline wager is usually a better option than a point spread wager. This is when you like three point underdogs in an NFL game. Only a small percentage of NFL games are decided by three points or less, so if you think a three point underdog is going to cover then you might as well bet on them to win outright. This will generally give you a much better return.

The Seattle versus Carolina game we showed you earlier is a good example of just that kind of situation. Here’s how the point spread looked for that game.

Seattle are three point underdogs, and a bet on them to cover is available at odds of -110. If you liked that bet, it would actually be much more logical to place a moneyline wager at odds of +130. Let’s look at the potential returns for the two bets.

This is a huge difference. The potential profit on the moneyline wager ($143) is over 40% greater than that of the point spread wager ($100). You’re a little less likely to win, as there is a chance that Seattle would lose by one or two points, but there’s a more than fair chance that if they did cover they would actually win the match. And, of course, if they lost by three or more then you’d have lost either way.

Tips for Betting Football Moneylines

Now that you know how moneylines work, and have some idea of when to use them, you can start to consider how to bet moneylines effectively. The following tips will help you with this.

Work on Your Handicapping Skills

As with any type of football wager, your best hope of making money lies in being able to handicap games effectively. This means analyzing each team’s relative chances of winning, and then comparing those chances to the odds available. That’s a slightly simplified explanation of how handicapping works, but it’s accurate nonetheless.

Actually handicapping games is far from simple though. Or, at least, handicapping them well is. There are all kinds of different factors that can affect the outcome of a game, and you need to take as many of them as possible into account. You also need to assess just how much of an impact those factors will have, and try to accurately evaluate just how likely a team is to win. For more advice on how to do this, please see the following article.

Picks Your Spots

One of the biggest mistakes that bettors make is trying to make a judgement on every single game that’s taking place. This is especially true of those who only focus on the NFL. There aren’t that many games each week, and bettors think they stand the best chance of making money if they can predict the outcomes in all of them. This is not an approach we recommend.

The key to successful betting lies in quality and not quantity. Your overall chances of winning are much greater if you pick your spots carefully, and only bet when you find real value. There isn’t a huge number of NFL games each week, but there’s enough that it’s simply not realistic to think you can handicap them all. And if you’re also betting on college games then this is even more of an issue.

Be patient, be selective, and only bet when you have justified reasons to do so.

Get the Best Odds

This tip applies to placing wager of any type, on any sport. It’s important enough for us to mention it here though. If you only bet with one bookmaker or betting site, then you’re almost certainly hindering your chances of making money. At the very least you will be missing out on getting the best possible value.

This is because different bookmakers and betting sites price up games differently. So the odds they offer are not always the same. Remember the Packers versus Cardinals game we showed earlier as an example? We used the actual odds from a real betting site for that example. The following odds were also available for the same game, from various other sites.

• Packers +252 / Cardinals -285
• Packers +260 / Cardinals -290
• Packers +240 / Cardinals -270
• Packers +245 / Cardinals -280

As you can see, there’s not an insignificant difference in what was available. By shopping around for the best odds you can ensure that your potential payout is always as high as it can be. This is a great benefit over time, and can even be the difference between winning overall or losing overall. Such as the fine margins of betting on football.

Moneylines are a viable alternative to point spreads when betting on football. If you’re one of those bettors who only ever bets on the spread, then you could very well be missing out on some good opportunities to find better value. We don’t recommend that you stop placing point spreads and only place moneyline wagers, but you should definitely consider both when betting on a game of football. Try to decide which one offers the better value, and then go with that option.

It’s also worth backing big favorites on the moneyline if you like a low risk approach. Always take the odds into consideration though. The profit from winning a lot of bets at very low odds can soon be wiped out with just a couple of losing bets.

Secrets, Confessions, and Life of a Professional Gambler

– Case Study from Team Diego

HOW TO MAKE MONEY FROM SOCCER BETTING: A GUIDE TO CRACKING THE CODE

It’s a well known fact that 90-plus percent of soccer/football bettors will lose money in the long run. This is largely due to the “house advantage” in the odds set by bookmakers. So is it possible that there are actually gamblers in the world who consistently beat the bookies and make money from soccer betting?

Enter Team Diego. Over here we have built a proven soccer betting system — grounded in sound mathematical principles — that allows us to consistently enjoy 40-50% ROI.

Make Money Betting Sports

Every member of our team has the potential to become a successful soccer bettor as long as they religiously follow the method laid out in this article. Depending on their risk appetite and starting bankroll, most of our guys bring in between $2,000 to $4,000 a month in net profits.

Today we have an exclusive interview with one member who is on the higher end of this range. Without further bullshit, let’s go straight to my Canadian friend, Thomas.

[Some remarks have been edited for brevity and clarity. Additional info is also added at appropriate junctures to provide better context.]

ENTER THOMAS W. OF CANADA. AN AVID SOCCER FAN IN HIS EARLY 40s, THOMAS WAS ONE OF THE EARLIEST MEMBERS OF TEAM DIEGO…

Diego: Hi Thomas, thanks for taking the time to do this interview. Let’s begin with a short introduction of yourself.

Thomas: Sure! I’m a crazy mix of soccer fanatic, math geek, and father-of-three. So before I found you and your blog in early 2017, I have actually been gambling on soccer (and other sports) for the past 10 years or so. I do track my bets in quite a methodical manner, so I was aware that as a recreational gambler I was making losses for the most part, occasionally breaking even if I’m lucky.

Diego: How much are you winning (net profits) per month now?

Thomas: Well, initially I started with a modest bankroll and was profiting less than 1 grand a month. True to your word, my ROI has always been in the 40-50% range when I track my winnings monthly. As my small bankroll steadily increased over the months, so did my stakes. I now average about $3,500 in profits a month, with some good (excellent?) months bringing me excess of $5,000.

Diego: Do you still need a day job?

Thomas: Hahaha. I actually still keep my day job! I enjoy what I do greatly (it actually has close connections/applications with mathematics) and see no reason to quit even as I continue to increase my betting profits. Moreover, since I’m following your daily picks, I don’t even spend that much time on my gambling “side income”.

But who knows, maybe one day I may move to a cheaper city to have a change of lifestyle. You know, slower pace of life…when the kids are grown up. Maybe by then I could dream of living off my soccer money! Not sure if the wife would agree though!

Diego: I’m actually pretty surprised that there are many guys in Canada who are into soccer betting. But I digress… Okay, what’s the best kept secret in the world of soccer betting that the bookies don’t want us to know?

Thomas: To beat the bookies at their own game, we need to know something that the average bettor does not. If everyone knows this secret then it’s not really a secret anymore, since the betting odds will shift accordingly to erode this advantage we currently enjoy (or exploit, lol).

The biggest secret is this — to quote from you since you’re the master — betting on draws is the only long-term sustainable way to profit consistently in soccer betting.

Diego: You’re 100% correct. There’s no need to over-complicate things if people just follow the betting system. Nobody likes betting on draws because it’s boring and stuff. But hey, we’re here to profit while the average bettor just wants to entertain himself while watching a game.

Thomas: Absolutely! The whole idea in betting (if you want to profit in the long run) is to find “value bets” like what you taught us. As you said, “if you follow the herd, you will join them in losing”. That’s very true. Since most people rack up net losses! To have an edge over the bookies, you need to find situations that have a higher chance of occurring than what the market odds indicate.

Diego: And of course those situations can be found in draw bets…

Thomas: Yup, very true. I can’t believe I took so many years to figure this out.

Diego: Most people bet aimlessly without a plan.

Thomas: Definitely. Since majority of bettors bet emotionally (rather than rationally), the betting markets have a bias against draws. That’s where the real money lies. In boring draws. Haha. But for us, we’re very happy to see 0-0 or 1-1 scorelines.

Diego: Can you give our readers a breakdown of an average month of betting – how do you make that $3,500?

Thomas: In simple terms, our strategy is a staking method (developed using mathematical calculations on bankroll management) designed to ensure profits in the long run. We do this by betting in a strategic manner such that our wins are always greater than our losses.

Adhering strictly to the guidelines you teach, I always start out with an initial stake of $40. By opening accounts with most of the major bookies, I can obtain the best odds for each game, which is usually above 3.00 since we’re betting on draws. This gives me $80+ profits for every draw we win.

By following your picks for the past year, I manage to get about 10 draws every week. So roughly 40 draws a month and $3,000++ in winnings. Actually close to $4,000 these days.

Diego: Did you always know you wanted to be a gambler? I wonder how that would go down with your high school teacher.

Thomas: Hahaha! I have a degree in math and work in a math-related field. I guess I have always been a statistics junkie – I mean I like analyzing data and shit like that. So going into soccer betting and joining Team Diego isn’t THAT surprising I guess. LOL.

Diego: And how old were you when you first started soccer betting?

Thomas: I first began placing bets in other sports when I was 24 or 25 years old. I only got into soccer (and soccer betting) much later on in my 30s. Hands down the easiest sport to win and beat the bookies!

I don’t bother with other sports nowadays – I may still throw in a little wager here and there for fun, but nothing serious. Unless I could develop a system to profit consistently with those sports like how you did with soccer.

I still like watching ice hockey, American football and the occasional basketball for relaxation.

Diego: What’s the one thing you hate most about the betting industry today?

Thomas: With the rise of online betting and its convenience, there are way too many scammers out there on the internet. These pathetic scammers operate from parts of Africa, Europe, the Middle East, or wherever they are… and claim to have insider knowledge of so-called “fixed games”.

I hate to admit I fell prey to a few of those scams in my early days. Not only did I lose money by paying for fake tips, I lost even more by betting big on those fake “fixed games”.

Diego: Well, you know better now.

Thomas: I’m not saying fixed matches don’t exist – they do. But the vast majority of these idiots touting “fixed games” are definitely fake. There ARE international syndicates doing real match-fixing (especially in Asia, as I’m sure you would know being from that region), but these guys are big whales. They spend hundreds of thousands of dollars (if not millions) to fix a single game, and they would place equally huge bets to make their risky endeavors pay off.

In short, the real match-fixers belong to professional syndicates. They aren’t your 18-year-old kid from West Africa who’s messaging you on Instagram to send him $200 for a “guaranteed” game. C’mon!

Diego: To end this, what’s your advice to the people reading this and saying “Damn it, I’m in. I want to start my own Bookie Bashing Journey.”

Thomas: I’d dish out 3 key takeaways that I’ve gotten from my experience.

1) You gotta learn to deal with your emotions if you want to take betting seriously. Amateurs can’t handle their emotions. As a pro, you need to dissociate yourself from your feelings. If you go on a bad run, know it’s just temporary and don’t be too emotionally invested in your bets.

2) Be disciplined and stick to the plan and system EXACTLY as taught by Diego. Don’t be too smart for your own good and go around modifying the system. Manage your bankroll exactly like how Diego tells you to. His strategy is perfect and his results speak for themselves.

3) Exercise the cash out option that bookmakers offer. It’s there for you to make use of! Especially for high stakes games. Don’t be greedy. If the game is tied at 2-2 at the 85th min and you can cash out your winnings, then do so. Since we specialize in betting draws, a late goal from either side can ruin your bet. Avoid the perils of late goals!

Diego: Very cool. Thanks a lot for your time, Thomas.

Thomas: Pleasure is all mine.

FINAL THOUGHTS

Thomas is a tremendous example of a successful soccer bettor.

Once you’re in Team Diego – you’re in a super rare company of SOCCER BETTING WINNERS.

We are on a mission to transform the soccer betting industry and beat the bookies at their game.

Unlike other so-called betting “gurus” in the industry who hide behind a keyboard, stay anonymous, and never show their faces — I put out our record AND my face for all to see.

Guys from 6 continents (and over 40 countries) have tried the system. Our amazing results allow us to do nonsense like this. LOL.

Happy bookie-killing & I’ll see you in the Winner’s Circle.

Live Free Or Die,
J.K. Diego (JKDGO.COM)